1. The less you know, the more you know. The people who win office pools generally don’t know that much about the current climate in college basketball. Every year I know too much, and I never win.
2. Two often overlooked things to consider when filling out your brackets: coach and conference. Certain coaches (Arizona’s Lute Olson is a perfect example) are famous for under achieving, while others (Rick Pitino, Tom Izzo) seem to always get the most out of their teams.
Also, every year at least one team from the Big 10 or ACC (traditional power conferences) that had a decent record during the regular season goes on a good run in the tourney, simply from having been toughened up against a high caliber of competition earlier in the year.
3. Pick upsets early, but not to go deep. This year’s tournament has produced a record lack of first-round upsets, but usually there are a few shockers early. Regardless, the double-digit seeds rarely make it deeper than th Sweet Sixteen.
4. Alway pick at least one or two number 1 seeds to go to the final four. Every year there are at least a couple of number 1 seeds that walk through to the Final Four, often benefiting from the upsets of other high-ranked teams.]]>